Embedded Files
Reported Cases and Deaths by Country on 27-05-2020 (as benchmark)
Reported Cases and Deaths by Country on 27-05-2020 (as benchmark)
Worldometers https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
Forecasts for the number of deaths in those hospitalised who tested positive for Covid-19 for the 25th May 2020
Forecasts for the number of deaths in those hospitalised who tested positive for Covid-19 for the 25th May 2020
(Left) Shown are the actual data points compared to the fitted curves
(Right) Forecast of 1000 simulations of 1, 3 and 7 days (in red) with 25% and 75% quantiles(in black)
Daily number of reported deaths in the UK to 27th May 2020
Forecasts for UK:
One-day forecast: 119 (25%)Cumulative three-day forecast: 221 (87%)Cumulative seven-day forecast: 432 (196%)
Daily number of reported deaths in France to 27th May 2020
Forecasts for France:
One-day forecast: 73 (21%)Cumulative three-day forecast: 224 (77%)Cumulative seven-day forecast: 420 (166%)
Daily number of reported deaths in Italy to 25th May 2020
Forecasts for Italy:
One-day forecast: 56 (7%)Cumulative three-day forecast: 175 (21%)Cumulative seven-day forecast: 431 (44%)
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